Author: Chris McGlynn

Spain’s early demise

Chris McGlynn Soccer, World Cup

For anyone that read my predictions on the World Cup, you would be correct in saying that I was confident in my pick of Spain as the winner of Group B. I mean, come on, they are the reigning champions and still the number one team in the world. Apparently, that meant absolutely nothing to Robin Van Persie and company as they dispatched Spain to the tune of a 5-1 final score.

I realize the error I made when analyzing the pool before the tournament began. The Netherlands was playing with a chip on their shoulder. They were clearly the underdogs and they had been beat by this exact team four years prior to today in a battle for world soccer supremacy. Spain also had to fight off the feeling of being complacent and the feeling that they were going to win simply because they were thought to be the best. Holland demonstrated, really for the entirety of this match, their burning desire to get revenge. They were first to every loose ball; they were more aggressive in their defending; they were more confident in their strikes on goal, converting five of them. They were simply the better team on the field rather than on paper.

The first take away from the match today has to be how poorly Spain played. They looked lackluster on offense and lazy on defense. Iker Casillas, who I lauded as being a special player for Spain, looked downright out of sync. He hasn’t been getting much time with the first team at Madrid and he certainly looked out of practice today. Casillas single-handedly gave away two goals today; one when he misplayed a cross from a free kick and one where he essentially pass Van Persie the ball in front of the net. I think Casillas will improve from here as he gets into a better rhythm but that has to be concerning for Spain’s supporters. We also witnessed the continued fall of Fernando Torres as he failed to beat a defender one on one to score a goal on an empty net. I don’t think I need to say more than that.

Now, even though Spain had a terrible performance, that should not take away from what the Dutch did today. They played fast and incredibly tactical offense and they played smothering defense. Van Persie and Arjen Robben showed signs of being one of the most dynamic duos on the international stage accounting for four different goals in the match. The fact that Spain’s only goal came from a penalty should indicate dominant the defense played throughout the whole game.

Now here is the fun part: projecting what happens next. I think this puts the Netherlands in the position to sweep the pool and take first. That would mean they would match up with the runner up from Group A, a much easier game than having to likely play Brazil at home. They could make a bit of a stretch run and I think they will wind up in the semi finals.

As for Spain, I still think they move on taking second in the pool. That would likely mean that we would get a matchup of two underachieving teams, Spain and Brazil. It really could be anyone’s game and one of these two tournament favorites could be heading home very early.

The last thing I have to say is how much I enjoyed watching the Spain-Holland game. It was so energetic and fast-paced. It was very entertaining soccer. I simply cannot remember enjoying watching soccer as much as I did today. This might have been one of the best I will ever see. As always, I am open to comments. Thanks for reading.

Contract of the future?

Chris McGlynn Football, Free Agency, NFL

This past Wednesday, Colin Kaepernick signed a six-year $126 million contract extension, including $61 million of guaranteed cash. What…The…Hell…? This was a shock to me. Colin Kaepernick is one of the most mobile and running oriented quarterback in the league not named Robert Griffin III. He is always at risk to tear up his knee from one crushing hit. And the 49ers are going to be paying him $10 million per year. The 49ers were smart and structured the contract to be easy to get out of every year but I am at a loss to understand the logic behind this deal.

Don’t get me wrong, I think Kaepernick is a great young quarterback with a ton of potential. And the 49ers aren’t making this deal on potential alone. Kaepernick has led his team to the Super Bowl and the NFC Title game during his last two seasons. I still don’t think I have seen enough that I would sign him to a contract with more guaranteed money that anyone in the league, including Peyton Manning and Tom Brady.

Moreover, Kaepernick will now head into this season as the sixth highest paid player in league for 2014. The only players in front of him are Aaron Rodgers, Matt Ryan, Joe Flacco, Drew Brees and Peyton Manning. Four of those guys have a Super Bowl ring. Matt Ryan has led his team to the playoffs four separate times and has over 150 career touchdowns. The guy after Kaepernick is the league’s best wide receiver Calvin Johnson. I just don’t think he fits with these names yet. Heck, Kaepernick isn’t even the best quarterback in his division (see Wilson, Russell).

Potentially the most interesting thing about Kaepernick’s contract is the way it is structured. San Francisco pretty much created an escape route for themselves if things go south with Kaepernick. It makes me wonder if this is something we will see more of in the future. Will teams look to cover themselves by avoid true long-term deals and simply look to create incentive-based contracts instead. It allows them to review players on a year-to-year basis and if the player continually shows they are worth the money, then they will be guaranteed it for the next year. I don’t see this being something many players will be looking to sign but it is a smart move by the 49ers for the way it is structured.

I think this was a great idea for the 49ers, just not the right player to give it to. Maybe if we were sitting here this time next year and Colin Kaepernick had just made it two his third consecutive NFC Title game then I would be a little less hesitant about this but truthfully Kaepernick has played one full season in the NFL and now he getting paid like a future Hall of Famer. He has no MVP awards, no Super Bowl rings, he hasn’t even throw for 25 touchdowns in one season.  I just don’t think he is worth being paid as the sixth best football player in the league.

That’s just my take on it. Let me know what you think.

Game Four wrap-up and thoughts

Chris McGlynn Basketball, NBA

Here I am again having just watched the San Antonio Spurs dismantle the Miami Heat for the second straight game of the NBA Finals. From the very beginning, the Spurs seemed to have an edge. They came out and played much more aggressively than the Heat did and took an early lead the Heat could never overcome. LeBron James showed flashes, specifically in the third quarter, of why he is the best in the world, but looked fairly human tonight as Kahwi Leonard held him in check. However, Leonard went off and landed himself a double-double. He threw down some massive dunks and looks like everything has fallen into place. He is quietly leading the Spurs attack right now. Tony Parker also played light out on offense scoring 20 points and shooting 53 percent from the field. Dwayne Wade had an awful shooting night, but played well defensively despite that.

Here are some of the other things I noticed though during the game. First LeBron looks sluggish on defense. He makes his fair share of great plays, but has several others where he just doesn’t make any play at all. For what it is worth, he had the worst plus/minus ratio of anybody on his team at -21. The Heat’s defense has dropped since LeBron and Chris Bosh came to town. Maybe it’s about time LeBron got mad about it and made some more plays on defense.

Secondly, there was something up with the scoreboard operator tonight. I think he or she was a little trigger-happy or just started assuming the Spurs would make shots. At least three separate times tonight, the scoreboard on ESPN would add an extra point after a missed free throw by the Spurs, and then three seconds later correct it. Nothing really relevant, I just thought it was both funny and interesting.

Lastly, and this is the major point I want to get to, Miami in recent days has been linked to potential free agent Carmelo Anthony, who is currently a member of the New York Knicks. The thought is Miami wants to take a stab at getting Melo to come to South Beach to play for a contender and win a couple of championships. Here is the thing, that doesn’t solve anything.

Melo is capable of playing both the three and the four (small forward and power forward) and is mainly known for being an offensive scoring threat. He has often been criticized for his lack of hustle and effort on defense. Now, LeBron James is capable of playing both the three and the four and I think has been struggling a bit defensively of late. Where does getting a player who has the same player type as a guy you already have help you? I just don’t see the logic. The Heat need some help defensively. Melo does not bring that to the table.

What the Heat have a pressing need for is a point guard. They need a floor general who can play stingy defense and make a couple of shots when needed down the stretch. I listened to the announcers talk about the Heat playing without a point guard at times and I really didn’t think the Heat played very well. Mario Chalmers and Norris Cole simply are not cutting it. The Heat always seem to find good players to rotate in as big men but they are in desperate need of a true point guard. Clearly, they would never be available, but players like Paul George or Rajon Rondo come to mind here. They are great on ball defenders that would give a point guard like Tony Parker hell and they distribute the ball nicely, Rondo more so than George. They could look to address this need in the draft (Elfird Payton or Shabazz Napier perhaps) or, more likely for the Heat, in free agency.

I just hope this is something the Heat realize during the off-season. I watched them play tonight thinking, “How good could they be if they had someone feeding LeBron and Wade and Bosh who wasn’t missing jump shot after jump shot (Chalmers)?” This team needs to add a point guard to fix their inefficiencies. So this is a message to you Miami, don’t sign Melo. Just get a true point guard and then we will see how good the Heat could really be. Especially LeBron. He hasn’t had a decent point guard since Mo Williams back in Cleveland. It’s about time to give the man some help. I hope that Pat Riley thinks so too.

NBA Finals: Breakdown of the rematch

Chris McGlynn Basketball, NBA

I just finished watching game three of the NBA finals and my first reaction is “man, Kawhi Leonard can play.” Leonard made the world’s greatest player, LeBron James, uncomfortable all night long with some stifling on-ball defense. Leonard always had his hands up and forced LeBron to play away from the basket for most of the game. And then there was Leonard on offense. He lit up the Heat defense to the tune of twenty-nine points and showed that he really is capable of being a star player. He shot the ball well from three point range and he displayed some fantastic athleticism driving to the basket. He also seemed to play in a more cerebral manner than I can remember seeing him play. Overall, San Antonio better hope that Leonard just unlocked the sleeping monster that would easily be the difference maker in their championship run.

Following the game, I spent a little time wondering how both of these teams, the Heat and the Spurs, were so good. This series represents a rematch of last years NBA Finals and it is Miami’s fourth trip in as many years. The Spurs had the league’s top record and I believe lead the league in offensive efficiency. The two teams dominated at stretches during the playoffs to make is back to the finals once again. It got me to think about what made these teams so good year in and year out. I came up with a short list of the primary reasons for both teams success. Surprisingly, they model each other in these regards making them very similar.

Selflessness

Both teams are littered with future Hall of Famers that could go out and attempt to make every play on his own. Rather than take that approach, both Miami and San Antonio have great team play. The Spurs are one of the greatest at moving the ball and moving off the ball. Their offense, while successful, is flowing and constantly moving. Even when they are setting up the pick and roll, players are shifting and positioning themselves to ensure they are ready to make a play. That all stems from everyone believing they are going to get the opportunity to make a play. There is no one who takes all of the glory. For all he is criticized, LeBron James is one of basketball’s best distributors and team players. He is always aware of who is playing well and who could use a boost. I have seen plenty a time where LeBron has made a concerted effort to get another player involved because he understands the importance of having everyone playing at a high level. And for as talented a scorer James is, he consistently spreads the ball around and sets up others for easy shots. The style of play is completely selfless and it is clear that both teams have bought into playing as a team for a championship. (Not to mention sacrificing money in contracts to add other key players around them. If that isn’t selflessness, then I am at a loss for what is.)

Depth

Even with the right mindset, it helps to have so much talent on both rosters. San Antonio is the king of rotating players evenly across the board to avoid fatigue and spark creativity. Gregg Popovich has a great system down that allows him to make full use of all of the players he has. From his stars, Tim Duncan and Tony Parker, to his role players, Patty Mills and Thiago Splitter, Pop gets everyone to contribute. There are so many players on this Spurs team that are capable of playing at a high level and making significant contributions. The fact that Manu Ginobli comes off the bench for San Antonio should let you know how deep this team is. On the Heat’s side, they do not have the same kind of crazy rotation but they do have some incredible “role players.” The best examples of this would be Shane Battier and Chris Andersen. These guys are by no means stars but they come in, make big plays and frustrate opponents with their energy and determination. That Heat bench also has Greg Oden and Ray Allen among others. Both teams have more than just five starting players who can contribute and run the team when the stars are slumping. It was astounding the number of times I would look out on the floor and see one San Antonio starter on the floor with four subs and still they would have success on the defensive side of the ball. That is the mark of a great team.

Coaching

The last key to the puzzle for the Spurs and Heat would be the man holding down the fort. Popovich and Miami’s Eric Spoelstra are true leaders and represent no-nonsense authorities.  They are fierce competitors and excellent motivators. They both blend the star power and bench players to create a more than effective and well rested team. These two men are clearly decorated and really embody that silent leader image. Without these two leading the way, both teams would likely fall apart throughout games and lack cohesiveness among players. Popovich is clearly one of the best of all time but I think Spoelstra gets overlooked despite making his fourth consecutive finals appearance. They are the ones who make those slight adjustments that make the game so diverse in style and usually fairly close. I also am astounded by the confidence they have in their players to be creative and make plays on their own. These two are clearly headed for the Hall of Fame themselves.

This has been a very entertaining NBA Finals so far and I am looking forward to tomorrow’s game four. We will see what adjustments are made and if Miami can bounce back from their sub-par defensive performance. Those are my thoughts on the two team’s dominance. Let me know what you think.

World Cup Mania

Chris McGlynn Soccer, World Cup

With the World Cup rapidly approaching, there has been so much talk from every national team about injury news to who will start in Brazil. It has become borderline insane. I am going to go through and make my picks here on who will advance from each group and eventually pick a winner.

Group A

The first spot clearly goes to Brazil. I don’t see a single team in this pool as being capable of upsetting the host nation. They better get that stadium done on time. I really think that it will come down to some fast break opportunities. Brazil is just too fast for Croatia, Cameroon or Mexico to handle. That home crowd supporting them will certainly help ease the burden as they coast to 9 points.

The second spot I see going to Mexico. They looked pretty good last Friday against Portugal eventually falling one to nil. It was unfortunate to see that El Tri still is having trouble scoring but they did play well defensively. They killed on a set piece but they will work on that just a bit more before they kick off against Cameroon next week. Chicharito came on and played well for Mexico in the closing minutes. He will have to find his stride for Mexico to have any success.

Group B

This might have been the easiest group for me to pick. Clearly the top spot goes to Spain. They are the world’s number one and when you have players like Andrès Iniesta, Sergio Ramos, Gerard Pique, David Villa and Iker Casillas, you honestly have a shot to beat anyone. Villa has announced he will be retiring from international play following the World Cup but he scored both goals in Spain’s most recent tune-up so I think he still has something left in the tank.

The runner-up will easily be Netherlands. The Dutch were also the runner-up to Spain in 2010, that in the World Cup final. The scary duo of Arjen Robben and Robin Van Persie will likely be enough to carry this team offensively. Those two are more than capable of making plays on their own. I am really looking forward to watching the rematch of the 2010 final where I think Spain will drop its first point in a draw, but still win the pool on goal difference.

Group C

This one was a bit tougher to figure out. I really couldn’t figure it out. I ended up choosing the Ivory Coast. They have remained for the most part healthy (see Radamel Falcao of Colombia). Additionally, both Colombia and Greece are in a little bit of a slump. Colombia is now without their top goal scorer and Greece has been struggling to find the back of the net. I think the staying power of Didier Drogba and the creativity of Yaya Touré will carry this team into bracket play.

Colombia will sneak in as well edging Greece for the second spot. This is their first time in the tournament since 1998 so there is not a single player on this roster that has World Cup experience. Despite all of that, I think they will find a way to win without their top player. This is a talented club who will be eager to show the world that it can compete. I know Greece is good, I just don’t think good enough.

Group D

This group has a ton of big names but I am picking Uruguay to win this one. It has been widely stated that England is rebuilding and Italy is searching for goals. Uruguay is anchored defensively by Atletico Madrid’s Diego Godin. He has been the mainstay defensively and will continue to impress on the international level. Additionally, Uruguay has one of the world’s top scorers in Luis Suarez, who set the Premier League on fire this year scoring a league leading 31 goals this year.

I think the next spot does fall to Italy who proves to be too much for a very young England squad. England has some talented young players that could make them scary at the next World Cup but this year will be just a year of gaining experience as Italy rolls through to bracket play once again. Get ready for Mario Balotelli to get angry again and start on a goal scoring tear.

Group E

This was an interesting group to pick with Switzerland and France being the two bigger name teams. I see Switzerland taking the group with some definitive play. This team will not blow you away with its scoring ability but they play sound defense. They won both of their tune-up games over Jamaica and Peru respectively without allowing a goal. It is time to see what they can do against some better competition now.

After imploding at the 2010 World Cup, France will be looking for a bounce back tournament. After managing only two points four years ago I think they will likely grab six. They will be hurting with the loss of mainstay Franck Ribery, who will be missing the World Cup with a back injury. But that won’t stop Karim Benzema from scoring goals and pushing France through group play.

Group F

This group features one of the world’s top teams in Argentina who I see grabbing all nine points in this pool to win it and go on to the round of sixteen. Argentina has Lionel Messi. If you don’t know who he is go Google his name and then just watch in awe for a few minutes. (Same applies for Christiano Ronaldo and Luis Suarez) There is no one is this pool who has the same amount of play making ability to compete with Argentina.

The runner up would definitely have to be the next highest ranked team, Bosnia-Herzegovina. This team is fairly unknown, with only one big name star but they are a solid team who will simply outclass their other two competitors, Iran and Nigeria. They have Edin Dzeko, the same one who helped Manchester City win its first EPL title in 44 years, who is still a fierce striker and can carry this team.

Group G

Aptly named the group of death, this is the most highly competitive group that a world cup has seen in recent memory. Featuring two FIFA top five ranked teams, the number thirteenth ranked United States and the always dangerous Ghana; this group will be a slug fest. Likely though, Germany presses its will on its opponents with its stifling defensive and explosive offensive demonstrating why they think they are finals bound.

The runner-up will almost undoubtedly be Portugal. Sorry US fans, there just isn’t enough certainty with that defense or offensive fire power to make the plays to advance. Portugal has some of the world’s top players and even without Christiano Ronaldo (same as mentioned above) should be able to put away both Ghana and the US. They will be too well organized and skilled on the ball to fall to either of those clubs.

Group H

The final group probably had what I thought to be the most clear-cut winner in Belgium. This is a scary team that oozes both youth and athleticism. With a midfield that consists of Chelsea’s Eden Hazard, Zenit’s Axel Witzel, Manchester United’s Marouane Fellaini and Wolfsberg’s Kevin De Bruyne this is a squad to be reckon with. This might be the most complete starting eleven out of any team in the tournament.

The likely runner-up will be Algeria, just edging out South Korea and Russia for a chance to make it group play. After getting pummeled by Belgium, every one of these teams will be in a fight to win that second spot. This will be a tight contest that comes down to who will have more big play making ability. In group play, mental toughness does not matter too much yet. That will come in when it becomes win or go home.

Round of Sixteen

This round features some very entertaining match-ups, especially with the host Brazil and the Netherlands. I think Brazil wins that one in a close game to move on to the quarters sending the Dutch home much earlier than in 2010. The other team from Group B will likely fair better as Spain should steamroll a lucky to be there Mexico squad.

Group C winner Ivory Coast gets to find out just how good Mario Balotelli is when he is angry after likely being booked in at least one pool play game as Italy coasts to victory. On the other side, Uruguay should rough up a Colombia side still struggling to score as they face off without Falcao.

Switzerland gets something of a break playing the inexperienced Bosnia-Herzegovina as this is their first World Cup. Switzerland should advance to the quarters. Argentina matches up with a weakened French squad as they bury the French with some incredible goal scoring from Gonzolo Higuain and Messi.

Germany continues its dominance in Brazil as it rings out Algeria in what seems like almost a formality for Germany to reach the quarters. Meanwhile, Portugal makes an early exit as Ronaldo and Raul Miralles prove to not be fully recovered and exposed against a very deep Belgium squad.

Quarterfinals

The hosts bow out of the tournament as well as they get shocked by Italy for the Italians first return to the semi finals since winning it all in 2006. Another European power house advances as Spain sends Uruguay home after Uruguay struggles against the veteran Spanish defense. Spain is one game away from a return to the finals.

Germany once again meets a team that does not measure up to its elite level of play and mental toughness as they smack around Switzerland to move on to the semis. Belgium loses out on a chance to proceed any further as they run into an even more athletic and better skilled Argentinean squad who is hungry for a shot on knocking off the champions.

Semifinals

Germany and Italy meet in a thrilling European battle only to be won by the more mentally strong Germans. Germany does what it could not in South Africa and makes it to the championship game. In the other semifinal, Messi and company take it up another notch to edge Spain after needing extra time and send the reigning champions home empty handed.

Finals

Spain crushes Italy in the consolation game for third but the game that matters proves to be a thriller. Argentina gets revenge for 2010 and defeats the outmatched Germans. Argentina’s athleticism and scoring ability proves to be too much for Philipp Lahm and friends as Argentina wins its first World Cup since 1986 and its third title overall.

That is all I have for now. Let me know if you agree or disagree. I am always open to comments.