The NFL season is right around the corner and while all 32 franchises are trying to make their final roster decisions, I wanted to take a different approach to roster building. Inspired in part by the annual NFL Top 100 players list, voted on by the players in the league, I wanted to know who the top 100 players would be to start a team with in 2022.
There are a variety of factors that went into creating this list. Let me lay out the criteria.
First, age played a major role in determining which players made this list. Only six players over the age of 30 made the list. Positional value was the other big driving force behind these rankings. There is no doubt that Jonathan Taylor is one of the best young players in the game right now, but you wouldn’t pick him first overall to start an NFL franchise from scratch. The positional value of running backs is simply not high enough to warrant that. Neither is the longevity of the position on average. You most likely want to find a player who is going to last a long time to build your franchise around. There are a few notable exceptions to that rule. With that in mind, I prioritized quarterbacks, offensive tackles, cornerbacks, edge rushers and wide receivers. There are plenty of instances where a more talented player slid down the board a little further simply because they played a less valuable position.
There were a few other factors I considered, including years remaining on contract, contract structure and salary commitments. There is a reason why rookie contracts are so valuable, especially when you hit on a star. That player is now on a team friendly deal with several years of team control built in.
If you missed the previous entry, you can find it here.
With all of that in mind, let’s continue our countdown to No. 1. Check back Wednesday for players 90 to 86.
95. Christian Darrisaw, OT, Minnesota Vikings Age: 23 Years remaining on contract: 4 2022 cap hit: $3.03 million He is built a bit like an oak tree and that is one of the many reasons I have Darrisaw next on my list. He had a bit of a mixed bag when it comes to production during his rookie season. PFF charts him as allowing five sacks and committing three penalties in 12 games. Those numbers aren’t great, but qualify as decent for a rookie making the transition. Keep in mind he missed the majority of training camp last year with an injury. Darrisaw graded out as a 71.9 for his rookie year. Reports coming out of Vikings camp in 2022 indicate he is ready for a big jump. The comparisons he is drawing are a little premature, but Trent Williams’ name has been mentioned more than once. Finding a young tackle with great measurables and upside feels like a big win.
94. Marlon Humphrey, CB, Baltimore Ravens Age: 26 Years remaining on contract: 5 2022 cap hit: $10.28 Had I done this list a year ago, Humphrey would likely have been much higher on it. He was coming off a Pro Bowl season in which he forced a league-leading eight fumbles and posted very respectable advanced metrics in pass coverage. That was following a 2019 season where he made 1st-team All-Pro. However, 2021 saw Humphrey slip a little bit performance wise. He also missed the final five games of the year with a torn pectoral muscle. The injury coupled with a not-so-friendly contract over the next few seasons made it hard for me to put him much higher, no matter how productive he has been in the past. His cap number is at least $19 million each of the final four seasons of his deal. I’m sure some of that can be rectified with a little salary cap magic, but it is still off-putting all the same. Still, finding a 26-year old cornerback who is Pro Bowl caliber when healthy seems like a worthy investment, even if there is some additional risk.
93. Trey Smith, G, Kansas City Chiefs Age: 23 Years remaining on contract: 3 2022 cap hit: $858 thousand Trey Smith was one of my favorite interior line prospects in the 2021 draft, but he blew away even my wildest expectations. He ranked second in pass-block win-rate and third in run-block win-rate among guards as a rookie. The only other guards to show in the top ten in both those categories last season were Zack Martin and Kevin Zeitler. That’s good company to keep. Of course, there are drawbacks to Smith’s game. He committed 10 penalties, which PFF has as tied for the seventh most among all guards. He is already a steal given that his cap hit won’t rise above $1 million until 2024, but if he can cut down on the penalties, I think we are looking at a perennial Pro Bowler with All-Pro potential.
92. Vita Vea, DT, Tampa Bay Buccaneers Age: 27 Years remaining on contract: 5 2022 cap hit: $3.77 There are few people on this planet with the combination of size and athleticism that Vea brings to the table. He is an excellent run stuffer with a good motor and does offer some production as a pass rusher. He posted a career-high four sacks in 2021, resulting in his first Pro Bowl nod. His presence alone impacts everything the opposing offense has to do from a game planning perspective. You cannot single block Vea often and hope to win. He is a nose tackle who can collapse the pocket. Those are hard to find. What’s more, his contract is very team friendly. Past 2023, the Buccaneers can part ways with him and incur minimal cap penalties, in most cases, freeing up a solid amount of cap space. Not that they should have any desire to move on from Vea. I think he has another four to five years at his peak before you have to start worrying about him being in decline. That is worth the investment if you are building a team.
91. Kwity Paye, EDGE, Indianapolis Colts Age: 23 Years remaining on contract: 4 2022 cap hit: $3.10 million As we round out the 90s, we find another member of the 2021 draft class. Paye got his career off to a solid start during his rookie year with the Colts. He recorded four sacks, a forced fumble and two fumble recoveries. It is worth noting that all four of his sacks came in the second half of the season. He is a physical player with incredible athletic tools. Again, this ranking is largely based on the upside he has flashed with hopes that he can take that next in 2022. He was seen as a project coming out, so I am betting he will continue to improve. What’s more, Paye is entering just the second-year of his rookie deal, so he has a very team-friendly cap hit through the 2024 season. The Colts can also exercise his fifth-year option to keep him under contract through 2025. High-upside players on team-friendly contracts will be a theme of these rankings.
Follow the Aftermath via email to get every article delivered right to your inbox. Enter your email in the text box to subscribe. You can also follow us on Facebook and Twitter. You can also check out our weekly podcast Draft Season Never Ends with new episodes every Friday, available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts and YouTube.
The NFL season is right around the corner and while all 32 franchises are trying to make their final roster decisions, I wanted to take a different approach to roster building. Inspired in part by the annual NFL Top 100 players list, voted on by the players in the league, I wanted to know who the top 100 players would be to start a team with in 2022.
There are a variety of factors that went into creating this list. Let me lay out the criteria.
First, age played a major role in determining which players made this list. Only six players over the age of 30 made the list. Positional value was the other big driving force behind these rankings. There is no doubt that Jonathan Taylor is one of the best young players in the game right now, but you wouldn’t pick him first overall to start an NFL franchise from scratch. The positional value of running backs is simply not high enough to warrant that. Neither is the longevity of the position on average. You most likely want to find a player who is going to last a long time to build your franchise around. There are a few notable exceptions to that rule. With that in mind, I prioritized quarterbacks, offensive tackles, cornerbacks, edge rushers and wide receivers. There are plenty of instances where a more talented player slid down the board a little further simply because they played a less valuable position.
There were a few other factors I considered, including years remaining on contract, contract structure and salary commitments. There is a reason why rookie contracts are so valuable, especially when you hit on a star. That player is now on a team friendly deal with several years of team control built in.
With all of that in mind, let’s kick off our countdown to No. 1. Check back Tuesday for players 95 to 91.
100. Jevon Holland, S, Miami Dolphins Age: 22 Years remaining on contract: 3 2022 cap hit: $1.98 million I didn’t count on having two Dolphins in my first five players. That’s just how good Jevon Holland was as a rookie though. He did a little bit of everything in that Miami secondary. He recorded two interceptions, 2.5 sacks, two forced fumbles, three fumble recoveries and 69 total tackles. At 22 years old, Holland is well ahead of schedule in terms of production. Also, as a former second-round pick, his cap hit is ridiculously low, staying below three million dollars for the remainder of his rookie deal. Unfortunately, he will not be eligible for a fifth-year option as a trade off, but the potential of signing him to a second contract at the age of 25 is an appealing one. With most of these players, projection will be required, but after a promising start, I am more than willing to roll the dice on Holland’s long-term upside and versatility.
99. Ryan Ramczyk, OT, New Orleans Saints Age: 28 Years remaining on contract: 5 2022 cap hit: $8.48 million The NFL has become a league where you need to have two quality tackles to contend. While left tackle is still perceived as the more valuable position in large part due to him protecting the quarterback’s blindside, right tackles are seeing the financial windfall of this shift in the league. Ramczyk signed a five-year, $96 million contract extension last July. His cap hit is going to be heavy going forward, but he has proven to be worth the money so far. He recorded the highest pass-block win-rate of any offensive tackle in the league last year. He is a three-time All-Pro in his career and likely would have been again in 2022 if not for a nagging knee injury that cost him the final seven games of the season. At 28 years old, he is nearing the end of his prime, but we are also seeing more players able to extend their careers well into their 30s. The next two tackles on the pass-block win-rate list were 31-year-old Lane Johnson and 40-year-old Andrew Whitworth.
98. Antoine Winfield Jr., S, Tampa Bay Buccaneers Age: 24 Years remaining on contract: 2 2022 cap hit: $1.99 million His dad was really good. Winfield Jr. might wind up being even better. The soon-to-be 24-year-old earned a Pro Bowl nod in just his second season. It took Antoine Winfield Sr. until his age-31 season to reach his first Pro Bowl, although he also earned All-Pro honors that year. He holds up well enough in pass coverage, but really makes his impact as an open-field tackler and blitzer. He tallied two forced fumbles, three fumble recoveries and a pair of sacks in 2021. It was a season that built off a solid rookie season. It would be great to see him take the next step in pass coverage, but he has the range and defensive instincts needed to impact the game at a high level for a while to come. Not to mention, he is under contract for the next two seasons with cap hits of $1.9 million and $2.3 million. Hard to beat the kind of value for a Pro-Bowl caliber player.
97. Josh Sweat, EDGE, Philadelphia Eagles Age: 25 Years remaining on contract: 3 2022 cap hit: $3.63 million Sweat is coming into his own, now entering his fifth season in the NFL. He has racked up 13.5 sacks over the past two seasons and finally broke through to being a starter in 2021. It earned him his first Pro Bowl nod and a sizable payday. Philadelphia brought him back on a three-year, $40 million deal, but only $27 million of it is guaranteed. Paying $9 million per year for a player who would operate somewhere in the 6-to-10 sack range feels like pretty good value. There is unquestionably some projection involved here. It is always a risk to bet on a player who just got paid. However, Sweat has youth and now two seasons of solid production on his side. He won’t be T.J. Watt, but finding quality pass rushers with upside is always a smart decision.
96. Drake London, WR, Atlanta Falcons Age: 21 Years remaining on contract: 5 2022 cap hit: $3.92 Clocking in at No. 94 we have the top receiver taken in the 2022 NFL draft. London was a phenom at USC. He recorded 88 catches and eclipsed 1,000 receiving yards in just eight games during his final season with the Trojans. He missed the remainder of the year with a broken ankle. London has a huge frame and plus athleticism that should allow him to be a safety blanket for his quarterback in the NFL. Unfortunately, he is already dealing with a knee injury this preseason, so durability could be a problem. That certainly knocked him down a few spots for me, especially coming off the broken ankle. He was my favorite receiver in the 2022 class and I think he has a long, productive career ahead of him. Building around a talented, young target could pay dividends long term. Plus, his contract situation is fantastic compared to what receivers are getting on the open market these days.
Follow the Aftermath via email to get every article delivered right to your inbox. Enter your email in the text box to subscribe. You can also follow us on Facebook and Twitter. You can also check out our weekly podcast Draft Season Never Ends with new episodes every Friday, available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts and YouTube.
Jets second-year quarterback Zach Wilson suffered a bone bruise and a meniscus tear during Friday night’s preseason win over the Eagles. He is expected to miss 2 to 4 weeks with the injury, which puts his status in jeopardy for the season opener.
Wilson missed four games in 2021 with a PCL injury in his right knee. (Atlanta Falcons)
Hopefully, this will truly be a short-term injury and we will all get a chance to see how much Wilson has developed from his rookie season to now. However, the Jets expected Mekhi Becton to only miss 6 to 8 weeks last season and he never played again. The need for a replacement seems less dire if Wilson is able to return early in the regular season, but it is possible the Jets would be in the market for a new quarterback. The other quarterbacks on the roster at the moment are Joe Flacco, Mike White and Chris Streveler.
It is important to note that head coach Robert Saleh is a fan of Flacco’s. He heaped praise on the former Super Bowl MVP not even two weeks ago, calling him a starting-caliber quarterback. It would not be a shock to see New York ride it out with Flacco while looking to add a third quarterback to the room for depth, but the Jets really hoped to take a step forward in Saleh’s second season. Keep in mind that Flacco is 0-5 as a starter for the Jets.
It is tricky to know which direction the Jets would head here. They are not really ready to contend, but I also believe this coaching staff and front office believes in doing everything possible to win. Let’s say general manager Joe Douglas decides that he wants to get aggressive and find someone to bridge the gap for Wilson’s return or perhaps find an insurance policy with a bit more upside given that this is now the second time that Wilson has suffered an injury to the same knee. There are not a ton of feasible options, but here are three quarterbacks the Jets could target.
Garoppolo went 31-14 as the 49ers starting quarterback. (Alexander Jonesi)
Jimmy Garoppolo This might seem obvious, but the 49ers quarterback has ties to the Jets coaching staff. Robert Saleh and Mike LaFleur both worked with him for three seasons in San Francisco. While Garoppolo would unquestionably have to build rapport with his new teammates, he should have a good understanding of LaFleur’s offensive system.
The Jets do not have a ton of cap space available, so it is likely Garoppolo would need to restructure his contract if the deal were to be done. San Francisco would likely be looking for a Day 3 draft pick and maybe a future conditional pick to move the 30-year old quarterback. It is clear they have moved on to Trey Lance as the starter and have been openly shopping Garoppolo for months. What’s more, Garoppolo is on an expiring contract, which means the Jets would still be moving forward with Wilson for the long term.
Love was a first-round draft pick in 2020. (All-Pro Reels)
Jordan Love It is unclear what Love’s future in Green Bay is at this point. Entering Year 3 in the NFL, it seems he is no closer to being the Packers’ starter than he was when they selected him. Aaron Rodgers is the two-time reigning MVP and signed a two-year extension this offseason. I’m not positive the front office in Green Bay will want to move on from him, but if he is available, he could be a cheap option in terms of cap space, to help the Jets stay competitive. New York would likely have to give up a bit more to acquire him than they would Garoppolo given his rookie contract situation and the fact that Love won’t turn 24 until November.
However, it could be a win-win for the Jets and for Love. For Love, he would at long last get a chance to prove he can be a starter in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Jets would be able to trade Love again next offseason, possibly for more than they paid if he plays well enough. In the event that Love plays so well that Wilson becomes available, he will still have enough upside and youth on his side to garner serious interest. Keep in mind that Josh Rosen netted a second-round pick for the Cardinals when he was acquired by the Dolphins.
I expect New York to stay loyal to Wilson, but having two starting-caliber quarterbacks under the age of 25 is a good problem to have. If Love does not pan out, the Jets will only be on the hook for the final year of his rookie contract. That cap hit is just under $4 million, which is pretty reasonable for a backup quarterback.
Rudolph has spent his entire career with the Steelers. (Erik Drost)
Mason Rudolph While I’m not altogether sure this would be much of an upgrade from Flacco or White, it is possible that the Steelers would be willing to move on from the former 3rd-round pick. The 27-year old is in the final year of his contract and Pittsburgh brought in Mitchell Trubisky and Kenny Pickett this offseason. Rudolph is part of the quarterback battle for the team’s job this preseason, but feels like the least likely candidate to win it at this point.
That being said, Rudolph has shown he can be at least an average starter in the league. He kept the Steelers afloat in 2019 when Roethlisberger missed eight games. Pittsburgh went 5-3 in that span. He earned spot starts in each of the past two seasons as well.
On one hand, it likely would not cost much for the Jets to acquire him and his cap hit would be very manageable. On the other, I don’t see him being a major upgrade over the quarterbacks that New York currently has on its roster. As much as Saleh wants to win this year, I don’t see Douglas making moves just for the sake of it. There are just not a ton of replacement options available across the league.
Follow the Aftermath via email to get every article delivered right to your inbox. Enter your email in the text box to subscribe. You can also follow us on Facebook and Twitter. You can also check out our weekly podcast Draft Season Never Ends with new episodes every Friday, available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts.
Welcome to Year 7! This is one of my favorite exercises to conduct every year. It is always incredibly interesting to see which schools make the cut and if anyone can come close to catching Alabama (spoiler: hasn’t happened yet.)
Unsurprisingly, the SEC continues to dominate these rankings. Nine teams from the conference feature in the Top 25 this year. The Pac-12 is shockingly second with five. However, none of them are in the top 10 and that includes USC and UCLA, who are leaving to join the Big Ten in 2024.
For those wondering, this exercise was somewhat inspired by the Pro Potential rankings from the NCAA Football games in dynasty mode. This list is not meant to measure how successful any of these players were after reaching the NFL. It is a far better tool for high school recruits to see which schools are the best at getting players drafted.
Obviously, recruiting plays a huge role in all of this, but there is not a direct correlation between recruiting rankings and these rankings. Just ask Jimbo Fisher. Enough rambling. Let’s get to this year’s Top 25.
As a reminder as to how these rankings are created, I look at all the players drafted over the past five years and then score their draft spot using the scoring system below. The draft classes included in this year’s rankings span from 2018 to 2022.
1. Alabama Crimson Tide – 316 points Previous: 1 (343 points) Highest Drafted Player – Quinnen Williams, 3rd Overall, 2019 This was a disappointing draft, by Alabama standards. And yet, they still lead these ranks by 76 points. Still, two first rounders was the fewest for the Tide since 2016. ‘Bama dropped points for the first time since I started these rankings. Keep in mind, for any other school, this would be a really good class. I fully expect Alabama to be back in the range of four or five first-rounders next year with Bryce Young, Eli Ricks, Will Anderson and a few others in the mix.
2. Georgia Bulldogs – 240 points Previous: 7 (153 points) Highest Drafted Player – Travon Walker, 1st Overall, 2022 Georgia’s dominant 2021 season led to a monster draft class. The Bulldogs set a modern NFL record with 15 players selected, including five first-rounders. They broke the record set by LSU in the 2020 draft. I don’t know that Georgia will come anywhere close to that again in the near future, but they should have more than enough NFL production to stay in the top five. Kirby Smart might be the best recruiter in the country and he and his staff have done an excellent job of developing talent along the way.
3. Ohio State Buckeyes – 232 points Previous: 2 (248 points) Highest Drafted Player – Nick Bosa/Chase Young, 2nd Overall, 2019/2020 It was a bit of a quieter draft for the Buckeyes with six players selected, the fewest the school has had since 2015. However, Garrett Wilson and Chris Olave gave Ohio State multiple first-round selections for the sixth time in the past seven years. Ryan Day has an unquestionable eye for talent at receiver and that room is still loaded. Hopes of catching Alabama seemed to have faded for now, but a spot in the top three feels pretty secure at this stage.
4. LSU Tigers – 207 points Previous: 3 (215 points) Highest Drafted Player – Joe Burrow, 1st Overall, 2020 Brian Kelly built Notre Dame into one of the better NFL pipelines in the country. Now, he will get to prove that he can do it in the Bayou with a huge recruiting hotbed to work with. Ed Orgeron had LSU among the nation’s elite producers in NFL talent already, so it shouldn’t be too hard to maintain that. The Tigers quietly had 10 players taken in this class. However, Derek Stingley Jr. was the lone first-round selection. Kelly will need to put a few more in the top 32 if LSU is going to keep up with Alabama, Georgia and LSU.
5. Michigan Wolverines – 145 points Previous: 4 (170 points) Highest Drafted Player – Aidan Hutchinson, 2nd Overall, 2022 The drop off from the top four to everyone else is massive. Aidan Hutchinson became the Wolverines highest drafted player since 2008 when Jake Long went No. 1 overall. However, Michigan lost an 11-man class from 2017 that caused them to drop in the rankings. Still, after a run to the College Football Playoff, Jim Harbaugh seems to have things headed in the right direction. He has revolutionized Michigan football and turned them into a true NFL factory. When I started these rankings in 2016, following Harbaugh’s first year in Ann Arbor, the Wolverines were not ranked. The following year, they skyrocketed to No. 11 and they have been in the top 10 since 2019.
6. Oklahoma Sooners – 144 points Previous: 8 (138 points) Highest Drafted Player – Baker Mayfield/Kyler Murray, 1st Overall, 2018/2019 Things are going to change a lot for Oklahoma. The Sooners had a solid seven-player draft class, but none were selected in the first round. With Lincoln Riley gone, there is no guarantee that this team continues to produce NFL draft picks at the same level. Brent Venables arrives from Clemson as a first-time head coach. He has proven himself as a developer of defensive talent. The Tigers had a bevy of first-round selections on that side of the ball during his tenure. Oklahoma actually picked up a few points this year after losing a lackluster 2017 class. This will be one of the more interesting schools to watch in the coming years with a change of leadership.
7. Florida Gators – 143 points Previous: 5 (167 points) Highest Drafted Player – Kyle Pitts, 4th Overall, 2021 A lack of on the field success and another coaching change have finally started to catch up with Florida. That being said, the Gators are still firmly entrenched in the top 10 and only two points out of the top five. With just three players selected this past season, it seems like the program is headed in the wrong direction from an NFL production standpoint. Kaiir Elam was a first-round pick, but if I had to guess, I would say it is more likely Florida falls a little further than climbs back into the top five. Billy Napier has his work cut out for him.
8.Penn State Nittany Lions – 138 points Previous: 11 (109 points) Highest Drafted Player – Saquon Barkley, 2nd Overall, 2018 Say what you will about James Franklin, but he has turned Happy Valley into a pro prospect goldmine once again. When I first started these rankings, Penn State was on the fringes and had not had a first-round pick since 2010. Now, they’ve had six straight draft classes with at least five players selected, including four first-rounders. There is still room for improvement when it comes to producing top-end talent, but make no mistake, the Nittany Lions are well entrenched in these rankings and have a very good base to build on.
9. Clemson Tigers – 137 points Previous: 6 (165 points) Highest Drafted Player – Trevor Lawrence, 1st Overall, 2021 A few years ago, I believed it was legitimately possible for Clemson to start challenging Ohio State and Alabama atop these rankings. Oh how times have changed. Now, Dabo Swinney’s program is on the verge of falling out of the top 10. Just two former Tigers heard their names called in the 2022 draft. Swinney’s defense is loaded with draft prospects this year though so, CLemson should stick in the top 10.
10. Notre Dame Fighting Irish – 135 points Previous: 10 (130 points) Highest Drafted Player – Quenton Nelson, 6th Overall, 2018 Notre Dame continues its run in the upper echelon of NFL draft prospect production. However, Brian Kelly is now headed to Baton Rouge. Marcus Freeman will now have to prove he is just as capable of recruiting and developing top-tier talent. There is no question the Irish still offer the big stage needed to get noticed by scouts. It will be interesting to see which direction Freeman will lead this team in the coming seasons.
11. Washington Huskies – 123 points Previous: 9 (132 points) Highest Drafted Player – Vita Vea, 12th Overall, 2018 There is a bit of a gap between Notre Dame and Washington, but the Huskies are closer to the top programs on this list than they are the bottom of it. However, much like the Irish, they are undergoing a coaching change. Jimmy Lake is out and Kalen DeBoer is in. It is a rapid rise for DeBoer, who spent just two years leading Fresno State before taking the job with Washington. A total of four former Huskies were drafted in 2022, headlined by Trent McDuffie in the first round. Don’t expect Washington to go anywhere any time soon given their past draft success, but DeBoer has big shoes to fill.
12. USC Trojans – 103 points Previous: 12 (108 points) Highest Drafted Player – Sam Darnold, 3rd Overall, 2018 Well hello there Big Ten-bound USC. The Trojans continue to hover outside the Top 10, but had a more transformational offseason than any program in college football. Southern Cal hired Lincoln Riley away from Oklahoma, added his former quarterback Caleb Williams via the transfer portal and announced that it, along with UCLA, will be headed to the Big Ten. This is huge news for many of the Big Ten schools, but it is significant for USC’s to recruit the midwest. I think we could see the Trojans rise rapidly over the next few seasons as Riley takes over and the impact of the conference realignment takes hold.
13. Iowa Hawkeyes – 97 points Previous: 13 (98 points) Highest Drafted Player – T.J. Hockenson, 8th Overall, 2019 Need an offensive lineman or a tight end? Iowa still remains the place to look. Tyler Linderbaum became the latest Hawkeyes lineman to go in Round 1. However, Only one other player from Iowa was selected this year. Producing first-round picks is always a good thing, but it would be good to see Kirk Ferentz’s program have more than two total prospects selected. I’m not too worried about their long-term prospects, but don’t expect the Hawkeyes to climb much higher than where they stand right now.
14. Mississippi State Bulldogs – 92 points Previous: 20 (77 points) Highest Drafted Player – Charles Cross, 9th Overall, 2022 I was a bit surprised to see Mississippi State climbing in these rankings after having just two players selected in the 2022 draft. Charles Cross going in the first round obviously made a big difference, but still. The reason for the jump is that the Bulldogs were getting very little value from the 2017 class no longer being included in the scoring. That class featured just one sixth-round selection. As long as Mississippi State’s 2019 class is still relevant, which included three first-round picks, they will be in the rankings. Things look rather murky beyond that point though.
15. Auburn Tigers – 91 points Previous: 15 (96 points) Highest Drafted Player – Derrick Brown, 7th Overall, 2020 Auburn is widely being described as a dumpster fire with no direction forward. That might start to catch up with them soon. The Tigers had just one player selected over the course of draft weekend this year. It was the first time since 2013 Auburn failed to produce multiple draft selections. That being said, Auburn has solid classes in the previous four years included in the scoring, so they won’t drop off any time soon, but Bryan Harsin will need to turn things around if Auburn wants to maintain its spot in the top 15.
16. Texas A&M Aggies – 88 points Previous: 16 (90 points) Highest Drafted Player – Kenyon Green, 15th Overall, 2022 Jimbo Fisher has yet to really deliver on the enormous expectations heaped on him when he arrived in College Station. That applies both on the field and on draft day. Fisher built Florida State into a draft juggernaut. The Seminoles were second when I debuted these rankings back in 2016. A&M has yet to crack the top 10. It was another solid draft class for the Aggies, featuring four players, including a first-round pick. For most other schools, this would be a really good place to be. I am just surprised they haven’t climbed higher.
17. Kentucky Wildcats – 83 points Previous: Others Receiving Votes: (60 points) Highest Drafted Player: Josh Allen, 7th overall, 2019 Well hello there Kentucky. The Wildcats were clawing at the door last year, but finally broke though. Four more draft picks, including three Day 2 selections, pushed them into the rankings. Don’t expect them to go anywhere either. Will Levis is drawing top-10 buzz in the 2023 class. What is even more important is that Kentucky did not have a single player selected in 2017 or 2018. The only way the Wildcats will be going is up.
18. North Carolina State Wolfpack – 76 points Previous: 23 (72 points) Highest Drafted Player – Bradley Chubb, 5th Overall, 2018 NC State continues to be one of the most underrated producers of NFL talent. The Wolfpack produced another first-round selection with Ikem Ekwonu this year. However, things have slowed down a bit in Raleigh in recent years. NC State’s seven-player class from 2018 won’t be included in next year’s rankings. They have only had nine players taken over the past four drafts combined. Producing first-rounders will keep them in the mix, but they need a bit more volume to solidify their spot.
19. Ole Miss Rebels – 73 points Previous: 25 (69 points) Highest Drafted Player – Greg Little, 37th Overall, 2019 Lane Kiffin seems to have the Rebels headed in the right direction, but it has yet to result in a ton of draft success. Ole Miss has had a bunch of mid-round selections in recent years, including a healthy 6-player class in 2022. However, it has been six years since their last first-round pick. Given a bit more time, I think Kiffin will get them back into the top 15. At the very least, I don’t think there is any reason to expect them to drop out of the rankings at this point.
20. Miami Hurricanes – 71 points Previous: 14 (97 points) Highest Drafted Player – Jaelan Phillips, 18th Overall, 2021 Given how irrelevant the Canes have been on the national stage, it is a wonder they are still in the top 25. That being said, no one has risen up to knock them out yet. This was easily the worst year we have seen from Miami from a draft perspective possibly ever. It was the first time since 2009 that the Hurricanes accounted for just one NFL draft selection. Jonathan Ford was taken in the seventh round as well. However, the window to push them out might have already passed. Mario Cristobal returns to his alma mater with hopes of restoring the program’s former glory. If he can successfully recruit South Florida and replicate the player development he displayed at Oregon, Miami will be back in a big way.
20.Florida State Seminoles – 71 points Previous: 19 (78 points) Highest Drafted Player – Brian Burns, 16th Overall, 2019 Much like Miami, Florida State is still trying to pick up the pieces. As I mentioned when talking about Texas A&M, Jimbo Fisher had the Seminoles among the country’s elite when it came to draft prospects. They were in the top five from 2016 to 2018. Now, Florida State is clinging to its spot in the top 25. Unlike Miami, there is not quite as much hope on the horizon. Mike Norvell has yet to get the Seminoles back to .500 and Jermaine Johnson II was the lone player from his program who heard his name called during the draft. Don’t be shocked if FSU falls out next year.
22. UCLA Bruins – 70 points Previous: 21 (76 points) Highest Drafted Player – Josh Rosen, 10th Overall, 2018 While there was a lot more made about USC joining the Big Ten than UCLA, the Bruins are a solid addition in the college football landscape. Chip Kelly has kept them in the mix. Unfortunately, UCLA finds itself in a precarious spot when it comes to these rankings. Its impressive 2018 draft class is in its final year of inclusion. While this was a solid class with six players taken, their earliest pick came at the end of the third round. Kelly will need another really good draft class in order to stick in the rankings.
23.TCU Horned Frogs – 69 points Previous: 24 (70 points) Highest Draft Player – Jalen Reagor, 21st Overall, 2020 Yup. The Horned Frogs are still here. Don’t ask me how. TCU did not have a single player drafted in 2022. However, its 2017 draft class featured just one seventh-round pick, so the needle barely moved. What I think this underlines is how steep the drop off is from the top programs and the lack of depth in these rankings. Looking at the scoring past about 17, we are splitting hairs. However, TCU will be an interesting team to watch with Sonny Dykes now taking over as head coach. The Horned Frogs won’t be shut out again either with Quentin Johnston looking like a potential first-round pick in 2023.
23. Stanford Cardinal – 69 points Previous: 17 (88 points) Highest Drafted Player – Walker Little, 45th overall, 2021 Somehow, some way, Stanford is still hanging on. It was a very quiet draft weekend for the Cardinal with just one fifth-round selection this year. The future outlook for David Shaw’s program is not great. That being said, Tanner McKee is drawing some NFL buzz and if Davis Mills has shown us anything so far in his very brief NFL career, it might be good to stop doubting Shaw’s ability to find and develop pro talent.
23. Oregon Ducks – 69 points Previous: NR (59 points) Highest Draft Player – Kayvon Thibodeaux, 5th Overall, 2022 The quack is back. Well in the rankings at least. Kayvon Thibodeaux became the Ducks’ highest drafted player since Marcus Mariota in 2015. However, Thibodeaux was also the only Oregon player selected. On top of that, Mario Cristobal just left for Miami. However, there is no reason to panic. The 2018 draft class from Oregon was nothing spectacular and Dan Lanning arrived from Georgia. There is no question that Kirby Smart deserves credit for building that team, but hopefully, Lanning learned a lot from his former boss.
Follow the Aftermath via email to get every article delivered right to your inbox. Enter your email in the text box to subscribe. You can also follow us on Facebook and Twitter. You can also check out our weekly podcast Draft Season Never Ends with new episodes every Friday, available on Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube or wherever you get your podcasts.
New episodes dropping every Friday! Football is finally back. Well, kind of. The Raiders and Jaguars kicked off the preseason with the annual Hall of Fame game on Thursday. With the season fast approaching, Chris breaks down his way-too-early rankings for the top quarterbacks in the 2023 NFL draft class.
You can find every episode on Anchor, Spotify, Apple Podcasts, YouTube or wherever you find your podcasts. As always, I appreciate reviews, feedback and when you hit that subscribe button.