Studs and Duds from the 2016 NFL Draft

It is so tough to predict which prospects will pan out. Every year the NFL draft is littered with Hall of Famers and busts and many that fit somewhere in between.

The draft is tonight and with that, let’s take a look at who will be the best and worst picks from the 2016 draft.

Studs

Ryan Kelly, Center, Alabama
This guy played against top competition just about every week he was in college playing at Alabama. Kelly was about as close to flawless as you can get during his career with the Crimson Tide. His name has popped up as a late first round candidate now. He will likely be one of the top three centers in the league by the time the calendar reads 2020. Whoever takes this guy is getting a stud to build the offensive line around. Just to give you some reference, the last five centers drafted in the first round were Nick Mangold, Alex Mack, Maurice Pouncey, Mike Pouncey and Travis Fredricks. They have 14 Pro Bowls between them, with Fredricks being the only one not to go yet, but he is only 25. If Kelly goes in the first round, he will be joining some pretty elite company.

Ezekiel Elliot, Running Back, Ohio State
He might have dropped all the way to 18 in our mock draft, but Elliot is probably even better than Todd Gurley. The former Buckeye was a beast in college and reminds me a lot of LeVeon Bell. His versatility to catch the ball out of the backfield, stay in to pass block, run inside or outside makes him special. If he goes to Dallas, there is a chance this kid is a Pro Bowler as a rookie. He will be a top five running back in the league by 2020, if he isn’t already the best by then. Gurley might challenge him for that title though.

Laremy Tunsil, Offensive Tackle, Ole Miss
This kid is flat out tough. There has been a lot of adversity surrounding him, but I think he will push past all of it and be an impact player in the NFL. Scouts complain that he could put more on his frame, and maybe he will after a year or two, but he already measures in at 6’5″ and 310 pounds. He has very good footwork and solid upper body strength. His will develop into a better run blocker at the next level and he is already a very polish pass protector. He played in the SEC and is used to competing against top talent. I think he is pro-ready and will get even better as he plays more.

Duds

Paxton Lynch, Quarterback, Memphis
I am far from sold on this kid. Most are projecting Lynch to go in the first round, but I’m not buying the hype. Similar to the concerns about Carson Wentz, Lynch didn’t have great competition in college and as a result, his college numbers need to be taken with a grain of salt. There are also a lot of concerns about his ability to progress through reads on the field and to master an offensive gameplan. Those are two massive red flags to me. Everyone knows that Lynch is not pro-ready, but with some of the flaws he has, I don’t know if he will ever really be set to play at the professional level.

Emmanuel Ogbah, Defensive End, Oklahoma State
This is the classic example of a guy who doesn’t really have a position. He possess good speed, but not great agility. He could play in a 4-3 or outside linebacker in a 3-4. He seems to be a man without a position and I think that will hurt him as he tries to adjust to the professional level. If he becomes an outside linebacker, he will have to develop the coverage skills necessary to stay on the field. Otherwise, he is a liability. He is much more comfortable playing along the line and his strength will prevent him from getting knocked around but he relied on it to pass rush in college. Relying on strength alone won’t cut it in the pros.

Will Fuller, Wide Receiver, Notre Dame
Fuller is a speedster with great college numbers, but I don’t think he will translate to the next level. He doesn’t have great hands, dropping a number of passes over the past two years. Fuller has decent height, but lacks much bulk. He only weighs 185 pounds and only managed to bench 10 times at the combine. Fuller also has small hands, measuring in at eight and a quarter inches. He reminds me a lot of a slightly shorter Darrius Heyward-Bey. His route running isn’t polished and I just don’t see him developing into more than a speedy slot receiver.

2016 Aftermath NFL Mock Draft

Well, it is finally here. The season of lying is almost over. This time tomorrow night, Commissioner Goodell will take a walk up to the podium to start the NFL Draft.

This draft has had a lot of focus on it already with all of the trades that have gone down over the last several months. It will be very interesting to see how many more occur on draft night.

Matt Luppino, Brian Mandel and Jack Venezia joined me on Skype earlier this week to make this happen. We took the first 32 picks of the draft, including the first pick of the second round, and divided them up between the four of us. We acted as the general manager for those eight picks, selecting who we think each team should draft.

So without further ado, here are the results of the draft.

Los Angeles Rams logo1) Los Angeles Rams – Jared Goff, Quarterback, California
This pick was a no-brainer. In my opinion he is the best quarterback on the board, and the reason why the Rams traded up. -Mandel

Eagles Logo2) Philadelphia Eagles – Carson Wentz, Quarterback, North Dakota State
With the big trade up to number two, everyone is saying that the Eagles are taking whichever quarterback the Rams do not take. We shall see if Wentz is the starter from day one or if he rides the bench for a little while. -Venezia

Chargers logo3) San Diego Chargers – Jalen Ramsey, Cornerback, Florida State
At the third overall pick, the Chargers land the best prospect in the draft. Ramsey is listed as a corner but could easily play safety or a nickle linebacker from day one. That kind of versatility makes him the right pick for San Diego. -McGlynn

Cowboys logo4) Dallas Cowboys Joey Bosa, Defensive End, Ohio State
I was deciding between Ezekiel Elliott and Bosa here, but I am convinced that any running back could do well behind this offensive line. So Dallas should wait until later and take the best defensive lineman on the board. -Luppino

Jaguars logo5) Jacksonville Jaguars – Deforest Buckner, Defensive Lineman, Oregon
Joey Bosa and Jalen Ramsey are both off the board and Myles Jack has injury concerns, so Buckner is the pick. He is the best all around D-lineman after Bosa. -Mandel

Ravens logo6) Baltimore Ravens – Laremy Tunsil, Offensive Tackle, Ole Miss
With Tunsil falling to the sixth pick, the Ravens have to take him. Baltimore’s offensive line has been rag tag for a while now. Tunsil should fix that problem. -Venezia

49ers Logo7) San Francisco 49ers – Ronnie Stanley, Offensive Tackle, Notre Dame
We get a mini run on tackles here. San Fran needs a quarterback of the future, but it is too early to take one here. Instead, they plan for the future when Joe Staley retires and grab the best player still on the board without any injury concerns. -McGlynn

Browns logo8) Cleveland Browns Pick: Myles Jack, Linebacker, UCLA
My draft board for Cleveland didn’t have its needs, but rather what it didn’t need (offensive tackle, guard, corner and tight end), so I will be picking best available player. And getting an athlete like Jack for the center of their defensive is great value. -Luppino

Buccaneers logo9) Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Vernon Hargreaves III, Cornerback Florida
The Bucs’ secondary is more barren then the Sahara Desert, and Hargreaves is clearly the best corner after Ramsey. He will slot in right away across from Brent Grimes. -Mandel

Giants Logo10) New York Giants – Jack Conklin, Offensive Tackle, Michigan State
The Giants have had so many injuries along offensive line over the last few years. They may address other issues with this pick, but I think an offensive lineman would be a safe add here. -Venezia

Bears logo11) Chicago Bears – Leonard Floyd, Outside Linebacker, Georgia
Chicago passes on Ezekiel Elliot with Jeremy Langford firmly in place and instead addresses the major issue it has at linebacker. John Fox will be intent on adding more playmakers on the defensive side of the ball.- McGlynn

Saints logo12) New Orleans Saints – Sheldon Rankins, Defensive Tackle, Louisville
This was the top player on my board for New Orleans, with a big need up front on the D-line. If they can shore up their pass rush, that abysmal secondary could see improvements. -Luppino

Dolphins logo13) Miami Dolphins – Shaq Lawson, Defensive End, Clemson
Although they just signed Mario Williams, Miami needs to look towards the future with their pass rush. Lawson looks like a steal at this range. -Mandel

Raiders logo14) Oakland Raiders – Jarran Reed, Defensive Lineman, Alabama
With Khalil Mack getting to the quarterback, the Raiders will get a good run stopper in Reed. This gives them a nice one-two punch on their defensive line. -Venezia

Titans logo15) Tennessee Titans – Taylor Decker, Offensive Tackle, Ohio State
The Titans acquired DeMarco Murray to pair with Marcus Mariota. Now they need someone to block for them. Decker can start on the right side while Taylor Lewan mans the left. Protecting the franchise quarterback should be a priority. -McGlynn

Lions Logo16) Detroit Lions – Laquon Treadwell, Wide Receiver, Ole Miss
Again, top player on my board for Detroit, who NEEDS to replace Megatron after he retired.  Treadwell is big and has great route running and footwork, so he could be another big body for Stafford to throw too. However, with him still on the board, I’m debating Ezekiel Elliott. -Luppino

Falcons logo17) Atlanta Falcons – Darren Lee, Outside Linebacker, Ohio State
It seems like every the Falcons are picking an edge rusher, but Lee is more than that. He has the potential to be an all around good linebacker, which is something Atlanta desperately needs. -Mandel

Colts logo18) Indianapolis Colts – Ezekiel Elliot, Running Back, Ohio State
The Colts have to take Elliot if he falls this far in the draft. Frank Gore did well enough this year but Father Time will come soon enough. -Venezia

Bills logo19) Buffalo Bills -Kevin Dodd, Defensive End, Clemson
Mario Williams left in free agency and Kyle Williams is coming off knee surgery. It is only a matter of time before Rex Ryan needs to find a new starter on the defensive line, so Buffalo stays ahead by drafting Dodd. -McGlynn

Jets logo20) New York Jets – Emmanuel Ogbah, Defensive End, Oklahoma State
I nearly got Paxton Lynch here, but I could see the Jets making trades here for him, or working to resign Ryan FitzMagic. So instead, let the Jets get the fastest defensive end in the draft and convert him to an outside linebacker, and he could be devastating. -Luppino

Washington made up logo21) Washington – Karl Joseph, Safety, West Virginia
By signing Josh Norman at corner, the Redskins need to look towards safety.  He is a bruiser and will make the secondary stronger. -Mandel

Texans logo22) Houston Texans – Josh Doctson, Wide Receiver, TCU
Doctson is a big wide receiver and even though he may be a bit raw, he will make an instant impact. If he can stretch the field well, DeAndre Hopkins will have some of the receiving weight taken off of his shoulders. -Venezia

Vikings logo23) Minnesota Vikings – Corey Coleman, Wide Receiver, Baylor
Coleman was an explosive scoring machine at Baylor and Minnesota needs some more offensive weapons to take the pressure off Adrian Peterson. I’m sure Teddy Bridgewater will enjoy having Coleman and Stefon Diggs running routes for him. -McGlynn

Bengals Logo24) Cincinnati Bengals – A’Shawn Robinson, Defensive Tackle, Alabama
The Bengals have a couple of needs here, like wide receiver next to AJ Green, but I think a defensive tackle to work behind or alongside Domata Peko until he retires fits the bill.  Coming from Alabama, however, he could be ready immediately, which makes this pick even better. -Luppino

Pittsburgh_Steelers logo25) Pittsburgh Steelers – Robert Nkemdiche, Defensive Tackle, Ole Miss
The Steelers need an upgrade at defensive and why not take a gamble at Nkemdiche. If any one can keep him on the track and allow him to show his potential, it is the Steelers. -Mandel

Seahawks logo26) Seattle Seahawks – Andrew Billings, Nose Tackle, Baylor
The Seahawks sure like building up their defense. Barring any drastic changes to earlier picks, I would expect the Seahawks to bolster their defensive line, even if they can’t get a plug and play starter. -Venezia

Packers logo27) Green Bay Packers – Reggie Ragland, Inside Linebacker, Alabama
If he is still on the board at 27, the Packers need to take Ragland. He would allow them to finally bump Clay Matthews back outside to rush the passer. He also has the ability to contribute as a rookie, and has the potential to develop into a three-down player. -McGlynn

Chiefs Logo28) Kansas City Chiefs – William Jackson III, Cornerback, Houston
If I’m Kansas City, I’m excited to see Jackson here, who clocked a 4.37 to lead all cornerbacks at the combine. When you have to face Derek Carr, Phillip Rivers, and the tandem of Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders twice a year, you need a top secondary. -Luppino

Arizona_Cardnals_logo_(1994-2004)29) Arizona Cardinals – Ryan Kelly, Center, Alabama
There were still cornerbacks on the board, but the Cardinals also need an upgrade on the O-line. With Kelly, they have a nice pick that projects well to the future. -Mandel

Panthers logo30) Carolina Panthers – Eli Apple, Cornerback, Ohio State
After losing Josh Norman, the Panthers need some help at corner. Apple was the best available in this mock draft in my opinion, but Carolina could way some other options here to fill the spot. -Venezia

Denver_Broncos31) Denver Broncos- Paxton Lynch, Quarterback, Memphis
Obviously, if he stays on the board this long, someone will trade up to snag him. However, none of us really thought Lynch deserved to go before this point. He will take at least a year to develop and coming from such a different style at Memphis, I don’t know how well the transition to the NFL will go for him. -McGlynn

Browns logo32) (Round 2, Pick 1) Cleveland Browns – RB Derrick Henry, Alabama
This is still Cleveland, so plenty of room for curveballs.  Here, they need offense desperately, and the Heisman Trophy winner is on the board, but is he too much like Trent Richardson? Don’t be surprised if it’s a defensive lineman or center though. -Luppino

Kerr didn’t deserve Coach of the Year

I mean come on. This is a joke right? Steve Kerr was named the 2016 NBA Coach of the Year today. That’s a little tough to swallow.

Steve Kerr
Kerr returned to the Warriors’ bench on January 2o. (Wikimedia Commons)

Obviously, it actually has nothing to do with Kerr’s coaching ability. He is a great coach. His personnel usage is incredible and he seems to have a close connection with his players.

Kerr missed half of the season though. Actually more than half if you want to get into specifics. Due to health concerns, Kerr missed the first 43 games of the season and Luke Walton coached in his place. The Warriors ended up winning a record 73-games this season, but Kerr’s record while coaching was 34-5. Walton’s was actually better at 39-4.

While the reason why Kerr missed half of the regular season games this season was out of his control, it does not mean that it should be forgotten that he missed all of those games. Kerr’s triumphs off the court were probably more important than anything Golden State did on the court this season and he should be honored and praised for that. Just not with the Coach of the Year Award.

In my opinion, there are two ways this could have gone instead that would have been much more acceptable. The first one would be if they named Kerr and Walton Co-Coaches of the Year. They each contributed pretty much evenly to the team’s success this season.

This would be somewhat similar to 2012, when Bruce Arians won the NFL’s Coach of the Year award, despite being the interim replacement for Chuck Pagano while the later missed most of the season for cancer treatment. Arians coached 12 of the team’s 16 games, so he received the award. Walton coached slightly more than half, but with the split being so close to even, I think it would be fair to have the two coaches share the award.

x-default
The Spurs went 40-1 this season under Popovich. (Wikimedia Commons)

The other option would have been to give the award to the next deserving coach, in this case Gregg Popovich. Pop’s Spurs won 67 games this year, and he coached all of them. That comes in tied for seventh all time for most wins in a season.

Popovich rested his guys throughout the year and showed that, similar to Golden State, he knew how to manage his team. He played small ball, he went big. He played fast, he slowed it down. Pop can get his guys to do anything he wants.

In most other seasons, San Antonio would have finished with the best record in the league. In fact, the Spurs became the team with the most wins to not finish with the best record in the league this season. Usually, that would mean that the team with the best record had the best coaching. However, in this case, it was not just one coach. If the award is meant to go to an individual and cannot be shared, then it should have gone to Popovich.

I like Steve Kerr a lot and I am not trying to argue that he isn’t a great coach, but give me a break. There is no way he deserved to win this award. It should have gone to someone else.

Bradford wants out of Philly

The Eagles are shocked that after trading up for the second overall pick to take a quarterback, signing Chase Daniel to a reasonably large contract for his stature and failing to pay him, Sam Bradford would like to leave Philadelphia.

Sam Bradford
Bradford threw 19 touchdowns and 14 interceptions in 2015.

Chip Kelly brought Bradford to the City of Brotherly love and now that Kelly is in San Francisco, the Eagles want to head in a different direction. Bradford is injury prone and did not have a great season last year. Yet for some reason they resigned him. Now he is demanding a trade.

For Bradford, this makes sense. He has no desire to be a back up or have a time clock set on how much longer he could stay with the team. He clearly doesn’t like the idea of having his replacement waiting in the wings. It doesn’t reflect very well on his personality, but you have to understand him wanting to skip town.

Let’s break down the teams that could try to negotiate a trade for Bradford.

New York Jets
Probability: High
Bradford is probably a step backwards from having Ryan Fitzpatrick, with the latter having played in the system last year and knowing the team, but Bradford would fill a need. If the Jets are unsuccessful in signing Fitzpatrick, trading for Bradford might be the next best option. Bradford would have the chance to compete with Geno Smith for the starting role. Bradford’s short contract also allows the Jets to move on from him fairly quickly. The likelihood is Bradford is no one’s long term solution at quarterback.

Chip_Kelly
The Eagles fired Kelly back in December.

San Francisco 49ers
Probability: Medium
Well, as I mentioned before, Bradford does have some ties to new San Francisco head coach Chip Kelly. The 49ers currently have a couple of quarterbacks on their roster, but rumor has it that Colin Kaepernick wants a change in scenery and Blaine Gabbert likely isn’t the quarterback San Francisco wants to invest its future in. Bringing in Bradford would give someone for Gabbert to compete with and allow the 49ers to move on from Kaepernick. Again, it does not solve the long term quarterback issue, but it certainly makes the present a bit better.

Denver Broncos
Probability: High

John Elway already traded for one Eagles quarterback this offseason, why not another? This trade probably won’t happen if only because Denver does not have the money or doesn’t want another Philly castoff, but from the standpoint of filling a need, it makes a lot of sense. Bradford could fit well into a run-heavy scheme and he would not be required to put up huge numbers with the defense he would have in Denver. The Broncos are a team that has a championship-caliber roster, minus the quarterback. Bradford might be just good enough to keep Denver’s hopes of repeating alive.

Drew_Brees
Brees’ cap hit for 2016 is $30 million, which is the largest of any player.

New Orleans Saints
Probability: Low
This one might sound a little bizarre, but hear me out. The Saints have Drew Brees under contract through this season and then he becomes a free agent. His cap figure is currently the highest in the NFL, so New Orleans would probably like to find a cheaper option. Enter Bradford in 2017. He spends a year on the bench, learning the system and the personnel before taking over as the starter. The Saints do have last year’s third round pick Garrett Grayson on the roster still, but if New Orleans isn’t sold on him, Bradford would be a good option. He would need to take a pay cut this year to make it work, but long term, this might be a good solution for Bradford.

Buffalo Bills
Probability: Low
These two teams already have a good relationship after working out a major deal last year to swap Kiko Alonso and LeSean McCoy. Maybe they will pull off another deal. No one is sure if Tyrod Taylor is the long term answer at quarterback. He and E.J Manuel are set to be free agents after next season. That could open the door again for a situation similar to what could happen in New Orleans. Bradford would be able to learn the system and compete with Taylor for the starting job. If he doesn’t get it, then he could take over the following season.

The NFL continues to hound Brady

You know in the movies where there is a relationship that fails but one of the people involved continues to cling on, in hopes that maybe they could salvage something. It’s usually the guy and he usually has no way of fixing things or proving that he can make it work. Right now the NFL is that guy.

Tom_Brady
Brady led the Patriots the AFC Championship last season.

CNBC just tweeted that the U.S. Appeals Court reinstated Tom Brady’s 4-game suspension in relation to his involvement in Deflategate. You remember Deflategate, the only thing ESPN could talk about last summer where the New England Patriots were accused of cheating en route to a Super Bowl victory.

Just when we all thought it was finally coming to a close with the NFL Draft coming up. It would definitely be talked about as the Patriots forfeited their first round pick in the upcoming draft due to the allegations of Deflategate. After that, it seemed like we could all put it behind us. Clearly, that isn’t happening.

I have a feeling that the Patriots are not going to stand for this decision, and rightfully so. Because this, according to ESPN, was the ruling from the U.S. 2nd Circuit Appeals Court.

“We hold that the Commissioner properly exercised his broad discretion under the collective bargaining agreement and that his procedural rulings were properly grounded in that agreement and did not deprive Brady of fundamental fairness.”

Roger_Goodell
Goodell has maintained throughout the process that Brady deserved his suspension.

Well there you go. This all traces back to the one man that is single-handedly ruining the NFL. Roger Goodell once again wields his unchecked and disproportionate power.

What this means is not that Brady was guilty or that the NFL found some new evidence. It just means that Goodell has the power to do this. And that is a problem.

I’ve been saying for years that Roger Goodell needs to be replaced atop the NFL’s hierarchy. (I’ve also been saying the league needs to change its player discipline process since July). He is unreasonable and has let his power go to his head. However, this also shines a light on an organizational issue for the NFL.

The fact is, the court is right. Goodell has the power to make these kinds of sweeping, grandiose decisions. That needs to change. There has been talk for some time about the league taking the power of player punishment out of the commissioner’s hands and delegating it to a third party. That way, the league could avoid situations like this and the commissioner could focus more on the future endeavors of the league, rather than how much he can fine James Harrison in a given season.

So yes, Goodell still needs to go. If you need examples, see Rice, Ray or Hardy, Greg. Either one will demonstrate why Goodell is not fit to be running the league. But this is also an institutional problem, where the NFL has given one man entirely too much power. It is similar to FIFA with Sepp Blatter in the way that the NFL as an institution is thought of as solely Goodell. (For a fun article about those two clowns, click here).

As for Brady’s situation, did he cooperate as needed? Probably not. Does the NFL have the evidence necessary to suspend him for four games? Definitely not. At most, Brady should receive a fine for disorderly conduct. And then that should be the end of it. There is no reason that Jimmy Garappolo should be playing the first quarter of the season for New England.

Unfortunately, it seems like this nightmare just restarted. Only time will tell if this new ruling holds up. Maybe some good will come out of this. Maybe the league will finally realize the flaws in how it lets Goodell govern and begin limit his power. Fingers crossed on that one.